TITLE OF PAPER: Tim Tim Tim Tim. Look at me, I'm Tim! URL OF PRESENTATION: _URL_of_powerpoint_presentation_ PRESENTED BY: Tim O'Reilly, Rael Dornfest REPRESENTING: Duh CONFERENCE: O'Reilly Emerging Technology Conference DATE: February 10, 2004 LOCATION: San Diego, California -------------------------------------------------------------------------- REAL-TIME NOTES / ANNOTATIONS OF THE PAPER: {If you've contributed, add your name, e-mail & URL at the bottom} Rael welcomes and describes a bit about what the conference is about and its history. "Watching the alpha geeks and seeing what they're up to" "If you don't have blood coming out of your ears, it's probably not afternoon session yet" Tim comes onstage, takes a hand vote of alumni to O'Cons. Tells a Greek story about "You're always talking about the same stuff, but the difference between a man and a sheep is that a man just keeps talking about what he wants until it happens. What we really do at O'Reilly: Big Hairy Audition Goals, changing the world by spreading the knowledge of innovators Find interesting people, and spread them. "The future is here, it's just not evenly distributed yet." - William Gibson Following the hacker frontier: pushing limits, (spidering sites) entrepreneurs apply hacker insights to make it easier, (amazon web services) tech gets incorporated into ubiquitous platforms (sites link into Amazon) hackers move on What's on the Radar Now? Amazon hacks, Google hacks, eBay hacks, linux hacks, spidering hacks What I use is what's on the machine in front of me... but google runs on linux so everyone is a linux user What interests Tim about what is on his radar The net is the platform on open source, but not open services, not apps platform players via web services aggregators, not just software (eg. Technorati isn't just software) user contributions key to market dominance Example: Amazon search for "javascript" Community contributed information "Most popular results" user advice: listmania, you may also like Example: Barnes and Noble Same search, results have no user contributed info First search result is a book published by B&N "The most successful of these killer apps will have this user contributed information" [People want to give information away for free, even if business will use it to make money. people want to put their stamp on something, even if they are being used.] Example: Mapquest Example: Conference mapping project, GeoURL Example: MS geocoding WWME project The whole idea of how the real and the virtual interpenetrate [sic?] such that mapping and user participation will be very interesting, and the first one that gets user participation right will be the big winner. MS mappoint is the only one making a platform play, but they have no clue and user participation, flashing ads:" Go away user, go away" Example: Meetup has a geographic component: "all the meetups in your neighborhood" People should be able to see that people are gathering together in an area and that they might be interesting to you. Mentions how Howard Dean used Meetup, but wants to talk about MoveOn and their origin with Clinton/Lewinski. With the massive response they started moving onto other issues and went on to build the biggest advoc. org in the world. Why is that? They figured out how to harness the Internet. MoveOn figured out that you didn't have to spend on direct mail, you just have to get people to do stuff. Using email and the web to point people at issues. Social software is a big theme, but there are problems: Orkut "Are you my friend?" Something fun but people are wasting a lot of time, but we need to pay attention to it. What's interesting about wiki is that they are so easy. People could use them for evil, but people use them very responsibly. Wikipedia, for example. Wordspy, for example [Used to keep a pulse on the lanugage of the day and keep track of when words first are coined. [T]his guy spoke on Talk of the Nation on NPR earlier in the year. Link: http://www.npr.org/features/feature.php?wfId=1579681] Rael's new site about untethered devices, an increasing part of our information fabric. iPod, iTunes: Pull together a lot of themes: software above the level of a single device: iTunes, iPod, Music Store. Conceived from the beginning as a multi-device application with a network back-end. It's rendezvous enabled, so not only is there a big back-end, but you can reach out and share with other people in your neighborhood. GarageBand: They didn't make it easy for users to sell their creations on the Apple Music Store We need "human interface guidelines" for network generation applications. Apple is great with adding rendezvous, but uneven. They're in some but not all of the iLife apps. Orkut: I want to organize my friends into group. Why should it be all private or all public. "Where is my address book?" online, phone, laptop, email, ... Isn't P2P the right way to share this information? Network enabled market research: Shows graph of top servces, including Apache and MS servers: apache up, MS leveling out. Example: Stock Market Visualization, Marc Smith's usenet viz, netscan For R1.0 a while ago, he was trying to figure out how to size the open source community. Looked at newsgroups and tried to generate stats on the number of people, Technorati as a similar tool, Alexa producing traffic stats: shows Orkut vs Friendster traffic from Alexa. Shows a clustermap of amazon book purchases, showing that few people buy books arguing both sides of an argument. Google AdWords Technology Index: showing the pricing of various adwords against the sales of related books and found a pretty close fit. Example: OS book sales trends, Windows is seasonal around xmas, linux is down (blames redhat) All developer books are trending down, blames outsourcing Back to hacking: pringles can hack to FirstMile Solutions in Ratanakiri Cambodia who are motorcycle based store and forward network. Seeing a lot more people playing around with hardware (shows hw O'books) Tim's fascinated with the under/over hype of the segway (and iBot[sic?]) and its use of computation. Out of time and out of slides: interested in 2nd generation network effects (social software, market data vis) Architectures of participation Getting beyond the single device Robotics and hardware hacking, repurposing devices into their true uses Thanks [He mentioned that there isn't any user-provided content on the iTunes Music Store. He didn't mention this URL, but... http://www.macband.com/ and http://apple.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=04/02/10/0745219&mode=nested&tid=141&tid=176&tid=188] NOTE: THIS WILL BE POSTED SO DON'T PUT YOUR EMAIL HERE (in normal form) IF YOU DON'T WANT IT TO BE ONLINE AND PUBLIC (I suggest you (at) domain dot com) -------------------------------------------------------------------------- REFERENCES: {as documents / sites are referenced add them below} http://www.wordspy.com/ http://geourl.com/ http://fabl.net/public/sandiego.html wikipedia mapquest meetup http://www.orgnet.com/http://www.orgnet.com/divided.html -------------------------------------------------------------------------- CONTRIBUTORS: {add your name, e-mail address and URL below} Trevor F. Smith, trevorolio (at) mac dot com, http://trevor.smith.name/ pbradley (at) clarity (dash "-") innovations (dot) com, http://edtech.teacherhosting.com & http://tofu.portland.or.u -------------------------------------------------------------------------- E-MAIL BOUNCEBACK: {add your e-mail address separated by commas } jeff (at) icosystem.com, phil (at) gyford.com [TFS I will be posting this (and all notes which anyone emails my way) here: http://trevor.typepad.com/blog/2004/02/oreilly_emergin.html ] -------------------------------------------------------------------------- NOTES ON / KEY TO THIS TEMPLATE: A headline (like a field in a database) will be CAPITALISED This differentiates from the text that follows A variable that you can change will be surrounded by _underscores_ Spaces in variables are also replaced with under_scores This allows people to select the whole variable with a simple double-click A tool-tip is lower case and surrounded by {curly brackets / parentheses} These supply helpful contextual information. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Copyright shared between all the participants unless otherwise stated...